Indonesia's Inflation in January Recorded Low, BI Focuses on Maintaining Price Stability
Indonesia recorded low inflation throughout January 2022. Based on data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in January 2022 experienced 0.56% (mtm) inflation, a slight decrease from the previous month's inflation of 0.57% (mtm).
This development was influenced by the decline in volatile food and administered prices inflation, amid rising core inflation. On an annual basis, CPI inflation in January 2022 was recorded at 2.18% (yoy), higher than inflation in the previous month of 1.87% (yoy).
Head of the Communications Department of Bank Indonesia (BI) Erwin Haryono said going forward, Bank Indonesia would consistently maintain price stability and strengthen policy coordination with the Government, both at the central and regional levels, in order to keep inflation within the target range of 3.0±1%. in 2022.
Core inflation in January 2022 was recorded at 0.42% (mtm), an increase from inflation in December 2021 of 0.16% (mtm).
By commodity, the increase in core inflation was mainly influenced by inflation in car commodities as well as contracts and house rentals in line with seasonal patterns at the beginning of the year and increased mobility of the people.
A further rise in core inflation was restrained by deflation in money transfer administration costs in line with the implementation of BI-FAST.
On an annual basis, core inflation in January 2022 was recorded at 1.84% (yoy), an increase from 1.56% (yoy) in the previous month.
Core inflation remains low amid rising domestic demand, maintained exchange rate stability, and the consistency of Bank Indonesia's policies in guiding inflation expectations.
The volatile food category experienced inflation of 1.30% (mtm) in January 2022, slowing from inflation in the previous month which was recorded at 2.32% (mtm). The slowdown was driven by the deflation of red chili commodities in line with the entry of the harvest period in several production centers.
The deeper slowdown in volatile foods inflation was restrained by inflation in broiler meat and eggs. On an annual basis, inflation in the volatile foods category was recorded at 3.35% (yoy), up from 3.20% (yoy) in the previous month.
The administered prices group in January 2022 recorded inflation of 0.38% (mtm), slowing compared to inflation in the previous month of 0.45% (mtm). This development was mainly influenced by air freight deflation in line with the normalization of prices after the Christmas and New Year holidays.
The slowdown in administered prices inflation was further restrained by inflation in household fuels due to price adjustments for non-subsidized LPG and various cigarettes in line with the impact of the increase in tobacco excise. On an annual basis, administered prices experienced inflation of 2.37% (yoy), higher than inflation in the previous month of 1.79% (yoy).